Misdirection & Target Selection, Part 2

Part 1 pre­sent­ed an overview of the need for strate­gic tar­get selec­tion. With the indus­tri­al econ­o­my bar­rel­ing ever onwards, drag­ging the world towards biot­ic col­lapse, the impor­tance of tar­get­ing our efforts can­not be over­stat­ed. Iden­ti­fy­ing and strik­ing at key tar­gets is nec­es­sary for any social change move­ment to be suc­cess­ful, and this is all the more true for rad­i­cal move­ments that seek to fun­da­men­tal­ly change sys­tems of oppres­sive pow­er.

Yet for all our earnest­ness and urgency, our move­ments have (for the most part) failed to tar­get the key nodes of cap­i­tal­ist and indus­tri­al sys­tems.
With so many ter­ri­ble things hap­pen­ing, we slide into a mode of reflex­ive defen­sive­ness, shift­ing hap­haz­ard­ly from one man­i­fes­ta­tion of civilization’s destruc­tive­ness to anoth­er, with­out any coher­ent plan to stop the machine respon­si­ble for all the car­nage.
Devoid of a way to make tan­gi­ble progress towards that goal, we are doomed to inef­fec­tive­ness: we become fix­at­ed by sym­bol­ism and direct our efforts towards sym­bols of that which we oppose, rather than mate­r­i­al struc­tures of pow­er.

Take for instance, this com­mu­nique from Indone­sia, pub­lished at 325.nostate.net:

Cov­ered by the night, we burned a pri­vate car in Tomo­hon (small city in North Sulawe­si), owned by an unknown per­son. It was a car locat­ed near the local TV sta­tion in that town. A car as a sym­bol of slav­ery, eco-dis­as­ter and the mean­ing­less­ness of life.

Yes, cars are ter­ri­ble. Count­less peo­ple and ani­mals are killed every day by vehi­cles. And car cul­ture has become emblem­at­ic of indus­tri­al soci­ety and the lack of mean­ing and con­nec­tion avail­able in mod­ern cap­i­tal­ist soci­ety.

But how does this advance the cause of rev­o­lu­tion? How does this change the struc­tures (indus­tri­al soci­ety and cap­i­tal­ism) that are to blame for “slav­ery, eco-dis­as­ter and the mean­ing­less­ness of life”?

Or this com­mu­nique from Greece, pub­lished on the same site:

We claim the respon­si­bil­i­ty for the incen­di­ary attack at the house of ex-min­is­ter of Econ­o­my and Nation­al Defence, Gian­nos Papan­do­niou. We arrived out­side the door of his man­sion on Olympias street in Kifis­sia and torched the two cars used by him and his “wife” Roula Kourak­ou for their mean­ing­less movements….Far from a pop­ulist rhetoric we iden­ti­fy in the face of Gian­nos Papan­do­niou an offi­cer of author­i­ty. We are not inter­est­ed in list­ing the dodgy things he has done, although he sure­ly has done many. Either way, cor­rupt­ed or not cor­rupt­ed, state offi­cers, irrel­e­vant­ly if they hold their posi­tions in the state mech­a­nism, are a per­ma­nent tar­get for the insur­rec­tion­ist dig­ni­ties.

None of us like politi­cians, nor the rich­es and rewards they receive for pre­sid­ing over oppres­sive and destruc­tive sys­tems of pow­er. In exchange for their proac­tive alle­giance to and pro­lif­er­a­tion of the sta­tus quo, they’re afford­ed pow­er and priv­i­lege, which lasts long after their terms in office end.

But again, how does burn­ing the car of an ex-politi­cian move us tan­gi­bly clos­er to achiev­ing our goals, towards dis­man­tling the sys­tem of which politi­cians are a sin­gle com­po­nent? How does such an attack effect change on the sys­tems which pre­serve and enable injus­tice and oppres­sion?
This isn’t meant to be a hos­tile attack on the courage or con­vic­tion of those who take action like this; nei­ther their com­mit­ment nor their readi­ness to take action is at ques­tion. This is sim­ply to pose the ques­tion “is this real­ly the most effec­tive way to accom­plish our goals?”

And need­less to say, this cuts both ways. Most of the more main­stream groups and ini­tia­tives fall just as flat. Cur­rent­ly, one of the most promi­nent pro­gres­sive cam­paigns is 350.org’s ‘Fos­sil Free’ cam­paign, which seeks to tar­get uni­ver­si­ties and reli­gious insti­tu­tions to divest their endow­ments from fos­sil fuel com­pa­nies. This strat­e­gy is def­i­nite­ly an improve­ment on past efforts, which con­sist­ed of plead­ing to politi­cians; this new ini­tia­tive iden­ti­fies a struc­tur­al prob­lem and aims to address it. Yet there are some obvi­ous and imme­di­ate prob­lems with the strate­gic via­bil­i­ty of this plan, and whether uni­ver­si­ty invest­ments in fos­sil fuels present a worth­while tar­get.

The fore­most issue is that indus­tri­al soci­ety is entire­ly depen­dent upon fos­sil fuels in order to func­tion and with­out an abun­dant & avail­able sup­ply would quick­ly col­lapse (which would be a very good thing!). Fos­sil fuel com­pa­nies already receive tens of bil­lions of dol­lars in fed­er­al sub­si­dies; if their via­bil­i­ty was in seri­ous jeop­ardy, we can safe­ly assume that gov­ern­ments the world over would rush to their aid. Indeed it would be dan­ger­ous to assume oth­er­wise. The extrac­tion and use of fos­sil fuels can’t be effec­tive­ly chal­lenged or stopped work­ing through the indus­tri­al cap­i­tal­ist sys­tem, because fos­sil fuels are an inte­gral struc­tur­al sup­port of indus­tri­al cap­i­tal­ism and it could not exist with­out them.
And beyond this, it’s entire­ly un-estab­lished whether divest­ments by uni­ver­si­ties would even have a mean­ing­ful impact of the eco­nom­ic via­bil­i­ty of fos­sil fuel com­pa­nies. How much such invest­ments con­sti­tute is unknown.

This isn’t to say that such a cam­paign is a waste of efforts or that it’s a bad thing. Any­thing that brings peo­ple togeth­er around struc­tur­al prob­lems inher­ent to this way of life is a good thing. And eco­nom­ic pres­sure, as we saw in South Africa, can con­tribute to a larg­er cam­paign that includes oth­er tac­tics, such as force­ful non­vi­o­lence, inter­na­tion­al polit­i­cal pres­sure, and strate­gic sab­o­tage. This is just to say that if the goal is to shut down fos­sil fuel pro­duc­tion or cor­po­ra­tions, uni­ver­si­ties invest­ments in the indus­try don’t present a very impor­tant tar­get.

A quick eval­u­a­tion of these actions through the lens­es of the CARVER Matrix gives us a more crit­i­cal analy­sis of the val­ue of these tar­gets.
In the last bul­letin on tar­get selec­tion, we pre­sent­ed an overview of the CARVER Matrix, a tool used ass­es the strate­gic val­ue of attack­ing a tar­get. Obvi­ous­ly, this is not an end-all-be-all; how a tar­get appears through CARVER is not the final and absolute deter­mi­na­tion as to whether it presents a worth­while tar­get. But it is unde­ni­ably a strong ana­lyt­i­cal tool from whose use we can ben­e­fit and learn much.

Crit­i­cal­i­ty: will the destruc­tion, dam­age or dis­rup­tion of the tar­get have sig­nif­i­cant impact on the oper­a­tion of an enti­ty?

The per­son­al cars of one or two indi­vid­u­als are irrel­e­vant to the func­tion­ing of indus­tri­al­ism or capitalism—consider all the thou­sands of cars wrecked every year in col­li­sions. This goes for the cars of polit­i­cal fig­ures, such as Gian­nos Papan­do­niou, as well.

As for uni­ver­si­ty invest­ment port­fo­lios, they aren’t crit­i­cal to the func­tion of indus­tri­al­ism or the fos­sil fuel indus­try either. Such cor­po­ra­tions don’t have much trou­ble find­ing cap­i­tal (as the vital­i­ty of the entire econ­o­my rests upon an avail­able sup­ply of fos­sil fuels), and they already receive mas­sive sub­si­dies from gov­ern­ments.

Acces­si­bil­i­ty: how fea­si­ble it is to reach the tar­get with suf­fi­cient peo­ple and resources to accom­plish the goal?

Cars are very acces­si­ble; peo­ple park them all over the place and they are almost nev­er guard­ed or pro­tect­ed, as was the case in both of the actions men­tioned above.

Invest­ments are not very acces­si­ble at all as tar­gets, with deci­sion mak­ing pow­er rest­ing with­in the com­plex struc­tures of uni­ver­si­ty admin­is­tra­tions. Addi­tion­al­ly, peo­ple with access to these sys­tems (e.g. stu­dents or fac­ul­ty) are nec­es­sary for each dis­tinct uni­ver­si­ty, requir­ing engage­ment on a mas­sive scale. Fur­ther­more, it is entire­ly unknown how much such invest­ments even amount to.

Recu­per­abil­i­ty: how quick­ly will the dam­age done to a tar­get be repaired, replaced or bypassed?

Per­son­al cars are wide­ly avail­able and can eas­i­ly be replaced, pro­vid­ed one can afford them. For pow­er­ful insti­tu­tions and indi­vid­u­als, vehi­cles are eas­i­ly replaced, but for the aver­age per­son ran­dom­ly tar­get­ed by insur­rec­tionary arson, not so much. And a polit­i­cal fig­ure who can afford two lux­u­ry cars and body­guards is unlike­ly to declare bank­rupt­cy for the loss of one (or two, or a dozen) of their per­son­al cars.

Again, fos­sil fuel cor­po­ra­tions are not starved for funds, and con­tin­ue to post record prof­its. And being that the ‘goods’ they pro­duce are fun­da­men­tal to indus­tri­al soci­ety, they can pass on any loss­es they sus­tain to con­sumers at the pump, who have lit­tle choice but to pay the price. Fos­sil fuel com­pa­nies are incred­i­bly prof­itable (because our way of life is depen­dent upon the prod­ucts they sup­ply), and that makes them desir­able investments—that will con­tin­ue to be true whether or not uni­ver­si­ties and church­es hold stock in them. Thus these invest­ments can be con­sid­ered very recu­per­a­ble.

Vul­ner­a­bil­i­ty: Are there suf­fi­cient means to suc­cess­ful­ly dam­age, dis­able, or destroy the tar­get?

Destroy­ing a car doesn’t require many peo­ple, many resources, or hard­ly any tech­ni­cal knowl­edge, so they are def­i­nite­ly vul­ner­a­ble tar­gets.

To change the invest­ment behav­iors of edu­ca­tion­al insti­tu­tions requires a mas­sive num­ber of peo­ple work­ing from with­in their uni­ver­si­ties to lob­by their admin­is­tra­tions to change. Because many uni­ver­si­ties are pri­vate insti­tu­tions, there are few ways to agi­tate and force change (pri­vate insti­tu­tions can kick out stu­dents and aren’t oblig­at­ed to lis­ten to them), and the only option left is to lob­by the admin­is­tra­tion to enact pol­i­cy change. Due to these fac­tors, it’s doubt­ful whether such uni­ver­si­ty invest­ments can be con­sid­ered vul­ner­a­ble.

Effect: What are the sec­ondary and ter­tiary impacts of suc­cess­ful­ly attack­ing the tar­get?

The destruc­tion of a sin­gle ran­dom car (or even the car of a for­mer gov­ern­ment offi­cial) is unlike­ly to have sig­nif­i­cant polit­i­cal or social effects—except for the per­son the car belonged to. If cars were repeat­ed­ly attacked, it’s pos­si­ble there would be a response by local police. But it won’t have much of any impact on any major effects oth­er than cre­at­ing one more pedes­tri­an.

Sim­i­lar­ly, there are unlike­ly to be any seri­ous sec­ond-hand ram­i­fi­ca­tions of uni­ver­si­ty divest­ment cam­paigns, sim­ply because it is a rel­a­tive­ly minor facet of the fos­sil fuel indus­try. How­ev­er, the suc­cess of this cam­paign would cer­tain­ly be a way to broad­en the con­ver­sa­tion about cli­mate change and fos­sil fuels, as well as broach­ing on a con­ver­sa­tion about the struc­tur­al deter­mi­nants of cap­i­tal­ism itself.

Rec­og­niz­abil­i­ty: will the attack be rec­og­nized as such, or might it be attrib­uted to oth­er fac­tors?

I can’t imag­ine any­one attribut­ing the burn­ing of a ran­dom car to rev­o­lu­tion­ary groups, and if so, I doubt they would do so in a pos­i­tive light. The attack of a spe­cif­ic polit­i­cal figure’s car may be dif­fer­ent, but again, it’s unclear with­out fur­ther expla­na­tion that such an attack was car­ried out with rev­o­lu­tion­ary intent, as opposed to pyrotech­nic hedo­nism.

In regards to 350.org’s cam­paign, if activists were to suc­cess­ful­ly move scholas­tic endow­ment funds out of fos­sil fuel stocks and invest­ments, they would undoubt­ed­ly be rec­og­nized for doing so, pri­mar­i­ly because there’s sim­ply no way it would hap­pen oth­er­wise.

Clear­ly, none of these present espe­cial­ly desir­able targets—neither indi­vid­ual cars nor uni­ver­si­ty endow­ment invest­ments in fos­sil fuels are par­tic­u­lar­ly crit­i­cal to the func­tion of the sys­tems of pow­er we seek to dis­man­tle, and that must be our fore­most cri­te­ria.

One could argue that these tar­gets are pri­mar­i­ly sym­bol­ic, that they were cho­sen in hopes of rais­ing aware­ness about the prob­lems of cap­i­tal­ism and indus­tri­al soci­ety. This how­ev­er, is pre­cise­ly the prob­lem. For decades we’ve been cru­sad­ing against sym­bol­ic tar­gets, attack­ing micro­cosm-man­i­fes­ta­tions of the larg­er struc­tures which are actu­al­ly dis­mem­ber­ing the plan­et, instead of focus­ing our efforts on those struc­tures them­selves. Earth is not being strip-mined, clear-cut and plowed to death by sym­bols or metaphors; phys­i­cal infra­struc­ture is required to do that. Our work needs to reflect that mate­ri­al­ism; like the machines doing the dam­age to the bios­phere, our tar­gets need to be mate­r­i­al, crit­i­cal com­po­nents of indus­tri­al infra­struc­ture.

This is a strate­gic rut of dis­as­trous pro­por­tions into which we’ve col­lec­tive­ly got­ten our­selves stuck, and we’re in des­per­ate need of a strong push if we’re to get out of it, and move onto suc­cess­ful­ly dis­man­tling the destruc­tion per­pe­trat­ed by indus­tri­al soci­ety.

As so many have so right­ly said, polit­i­cal change requires the appli­ca­tion of force. But that force needs to be pre­cise, aimed at the cor­rect targets—vital nodes with­in the dom­i­nant struc­tures of pow­er. Unless we select and strike at the right targets—the ones that are crit­i­cal to sys­tem func­tion, acces­si­ble, min­i­mal­ly recu­per­a­ble, and are vul­ner­a­ble giv­en our resources—we’ll be inef­fec­tu­al­ly burn­ing ran­dom objects and plead­ing hope­less­ly with the pow­er­ful until the cows come home, or until they too pass from Earth.